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Flocking

Members


Members of the Finance-Flocking Group

Nameemail
Ian Porteousiporteou@ics.uci.edu
Vikram Bodicherlavikramb@uci.edu
Tony Tranttran28@uci.edu
Vijay Rajakumarvrajakum@uci.edu
America Hollowayamerica84@gmail.com

Papers


Should Network Structure Matter in Agent-Based Finance? S. Alfarano and M. Milakovic

Flocks, Herds, and Schools: A Distributed Behavior Model. C.W. Reynolds

A Simple Model of Global Cascades on Random Networks. D. J. Watts

Novel Type of Phase Transition in a System of Self-Driven Particles. T. Vicsek et. al.

Tamas Vicsek 1995 Paper on Flocking

Empirical properties of asset returns: stylized facts and statistical issues

Maybe this can help us look for features and impact co-efficients in news items. This also mentions the cyclic effects of news on stocks and stocks on news: Information sources, news, and rumors in financial markets: Insights into the foreign exchange market

Other stuff


Something interesting: Check out the links to Recognia on the page. They manually look for and announce about 50 patterns in market behavior. Chart game

Model


Here is a pdf for the formulas. Attach:model.pdf

Code


Attach:flock.m Δ

Attach:test_flock.m Δ

iGraph is an R/Python package that we can use to generate and display different types of social networks. Here is the link: http://cneurocvs.rmki.kfki.hu/igraph/documentation.html

MATLAB Code for the BA algorithm http://webscripts.softpedia.com/script/Scientific-Engineering-Ruby/Statistics-and-Probability/B-A-ScaleFree-Network-Generation-and-Visualization-35557.html


Plots

Plot of kernel density estimate for the mean estimate of the flock after 50 steps versus a kernel density estimate for the 5000 samples from the corresponding normal distribution.

Plot of the mean estimate for the flock over 50 time steps

Histogram of the joint (r(t+day,day),r(t,day)). A histogram of the number of returns at time t+day between (a,b] and the return was between (c,d] at time t. The ranges for the histogram was determined by finding percentiles of the data 0:1:100

Same as above except delta t = 5 min

Same as above except delta t = 30 min

Last modified November 04, 2008, at 04:14 PM
Bren School of Information and Computer Science
University of California, Irvine